A recent Atlantic article describes why, technologically,
China may be the first nation to discover extraterrestrial intelligence. A huge
radio telescope, called FAST, has put China far ahead of other nations in the
ability to search for far off signals that might have been created by an extraterrestrial
civilization. How open would the Chinese be to sharing such a discovery? Would
they try and manage communications with extraterrestrials on their own?
The Chinese are taking space exploration seriously. The
construction of FAST, which stands for Five hundred meter Aperture Spherical
Telescope, cost more than $184 million and included relocating more than 2,000
Chinese families near the construction project to create a “sound
electromagnetic wave environment.” That’s a fancy way of saying that they are
clearing out humans to prevent electronic interference to their listening
project. Just try doing that in the
United States. And despite news reports focusing on uses of the radio telescope
in the hunt for extraterrestrial intelligence, the main function of the
technology is to examine pulsars, black holes and gas clouds.
However, Chinese astronomers are working closely with their counterparts
in America and Australia in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, as
part of the Breakthrough Listen international project. That means that
technically they should follow the long-established First Contact protocol endorsed
by the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA).
SETI organizations have advocated for the use of the
International Astronomical Union (IAU) telegram system (which one assumes has
evolved well beyond telegrams) in any signal discovery. It is used for
communication between astronomers at various observatories. This would be
critical in a detection, because that detection would need to be confirmed by
several different observatories before the signal could be declared not of
Earth origin and not a natural phenomenon. That means even a Chinese detection
would need to involve scientists from other countries, and thus such a
discovery would be tough for any one government to control. And that includes
the United States.
But what if First Contact is not discovery based, but rather
direct? What if the aliens reach out to contact humans? Such an event has no
protocol. One could infer from the wording of the IAA-SETI protocol that such
contact should be treated as any other scientific discovery. Perhaps scientists
would do so. But if aliens come to our solar system to say hello, they wouldn’t
necessarily contact human scientists. They could spend some time learning our
languages; have a probe connect to our internet; and then simply email
politicians or the news media a greeting. Granted, that type of contact would
be complicated given how skeptically most humans would react. But there would
be no reason to approach scientists first, unless you wanted to have them
involved.
At the very beginning of this blog (ten years ago), I provided
a Direct First Contact scenario that relies on the use of the American
broadcast news media to reach all of humanity at once with messaging from extraterrestrials,
avoiding control by any one nation. However, America is a complicated country
right now, politically. Alien visitors may determine that China has a more
stable form of government. Research studies have shown the Chinese to be
generally positive about First Contact issues.
So, would it make more sense for aliens to send their
greeting to Chinese researchers or perhaps the Chinese government directly?
Clearly that depends on what the aliens are trying to accomplish. If they want
to deal directly with the largest and most stable government on planet Earth,
China would make a good choice. However, there would be a severe consequence-
Russian and American leaders would be immediately suspicious. It would be hard
to overcome that suspicion. The same would be true if an extraterrestrial
civilization contacted the Russian or American governments first. Any First
Contact between an extraterrestrial civilization and one nation is going to be
viewed suspiciously by other nations. That reaction could be dangerous, setting
up a potential global conflict. And it would be hard to overcome the suspicion,
no matter how transparent the nation was in revealing First Contact. Conspiracy
is a tough thing to disprove when a situation starts with secrecy.
An alien craft could land in China, in much the same
scenario as the American one I describe on this blog. The Chinese news media
have the technology needed to cover such an event and could quickly share it
with the rest of the world via satellite. But would they? The Chinese media is closely
controlled by the government. Even if a media outlet was to begin covering an
extraterrestrial contact event, there is no guarantee that they would be
allowed to continue broadcasting. The same could be said of Russia, where the
media is also carefully managed. The United States government could try to stop
coverage of the landing of an alien spacecraft, but it wouldn’t be easy. In the
United States the distributed nature of the news media means that no one national
outlet controls coverage. For example, the ABC TV network has many affiliates,
but very few are directly controlled by the network itself. Most are independently
owned by many different companies. There is no place on the planet that has
the number of broadcast outlets with full service news operations as the United
States. Cracking down on all of those regional broadcast news operations would
be tough. And even then, the American Internet would be carrying the event via
citizen journalists on social media. Such Internet coverage could be curtailed quickly
in China. It could not be easily shut down in the United States. And if one
social media platform was carrying First Contact, American competition would soon
have every social media platform, and every traditional media outlet, fighting
to cover First Contact.
China has become a leading force in science on planet Earth.
The investment of billions of dollars in scientific research will make them a
growing influence for many generations to come. It’s critical to consider China
in any First Contact scenario. But the closely guarded nature of Chinese electronic
discourse means the country is a poor candidate for Direct First Contact. If
the goal of extraterrestrial representatives is to reach all of humanity at
once, they would be advised to take a close look at human communications technology
and find a way to bypass governments and scientists altogether.
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