Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Extraterrestrial First Contact: UFOs in the Spotlight
I don’t usually watch TV shows about UFOs. What I have seen in the past has been silly, overwrought, and lacking in evidence. A new series on the History Channel is quite different. “Unidentified: Inside America’s UFO Investigation” is based primarily on video and first person accounts from U.S. fighter pilots. The Pentagon released the videos in 2017. The thoughtful investigation for the TV show is led by a group of former military members. The videos show pilot encounters with objects off the west and east coasts of the United States. The video and descriptions are fascinating. The producers don’t jump to conclusions. They let the pilots describe why these UFOs were operating outside of the current parameters of human aviation technology. The videos came to light in the New York Times in 2017. The Times followed up with another article recently. Senators even had ameeting with some of the TV show researchers this week in Washington. It is perhaps the most attention paid to UFO accounts by legitimate sources in many years.
Let us not forget that UFOs are Unidentified Flying Objects. In the great majority of cases those objects are finally identified. Kansas City had a recent UFO sighting by members of the public. It turned out to be a highly classified type of surveillance balloon by a subset of the U.S. military. Many of the pilots in the TV series say they assumed the objects they encountered were part of a military test, something they were not made aware of, and that the disappearance of the video and radar files of those UFO observations were related to those tests. For me, the most interesting angle to come up in the TV series is an examination of the cover-ups that occurred after each incident. On closer examination of those cases, the disappearance of those digital records didn’t appear to happen as part of a government conspiracy, but could have simply been the actions of superiors who didn’t want to be embarrassed and risk their career success by reporting a UFO. That seems like a much more believable reason for UFO encounters not being reported by the government. They are kept quiet, and not connected, not because there is an organized conspiracy, but rather the actions are taken by individuals trying to protect their careers. The pilots say so themselves in interviews. The only connection between the pilots experiencing UFO encounters, on different days or different shifts, comes when they talk amongst themselves. Could it be that the so-called government UFO conspiracy was simply a collection of individual decisions to cover-up specific incidents?
So, where does that leave us in terms of extraterrestrial First Contact? It certainly provides more questions to ask if we do make contact with aliens some day. Contact in this sense would be an actual conversation of some sort, one where we could share a great deal of information, and in real-time, not spread out over many years because of distance. One of the first topics would have to be previous extraterrestrial history in our solar system and inside Earth atmosphere. Have they had drones or piloted crafts in Earth atmosphere? If so, why? And if so, what other types of contact have occurred? If they have been here in the past, we would have to discuss reports of alien abduction and direct contact with humans. I personally don’t believe such things have occurred. But in the event of a conversation with extraterrestrials, a discussion of their history of contact with humans would be a top priority.
I have always found talk of government conspiracy when it comes to UFOs to be ridiculous given how disorganized and full of leaks the government is with every other issue. Perhaps we have all missed this angle because of a shared fear of embarrassment? I understand why astronomers and astrophysicists avoid the discussion of UFOs like the plague. It really has been a plague for some scientific careers, just as it likely would have been for military careers. I have avoided such discussions on this blog for many of the same reasons. However, in the realm of complete speculation, which is what any discussion of extraterrestrial contact is at this point, is it wise to leave this issue unexamined? We have no evidence of alien contact. But that doesn’t mean that such contact has never occurred. We need to keep our minds open to any eventuality until we receive evidence to the contrary.
Tuesday, June 4, 2019
Extraterrestrial First Contact: The Power of Humanity
The wonder
of discovering an extraterrestrial civilization will eventually lead to an
examination of who we are as human beings. If we meet technologically advanced
extraterrestrials we may feel inferior. We may fear extraterrestrials because
they are different from us. We may be incredibly impressed and seek to emulate
alien thought. However, the discussion of those issues will eventually lead
back to who we are as humans. What is the power of humanity? What makes us
proud to be human? What would we share with extraterrestrials as examples of
what we are capable of: music, literature, visual arts, science, technology, philosophy?
There are humans dedicated to helping war refugees. We send aid to other nations in times of famine and natural disaster. We rush to assist a person who has been hurt. We take these actions every day, and perhaps in far greater frequency than we take part in conflict and violence.
Our civilization is built on the good work of people- the so-called “common people” in every city and every nation on the planet. I would imagine that they are the great majority of humans on the planet. They are often not the most famous or the most powerful humans. They are certainly not perfect. They may do an awful thing one day and then turn around and do something good the next. But they will most likely be there in times of need. There are billions of people on planet Earth helping other people in one way or another. That is the power of humanity. And no matter what we learn about alien worlds, that essential nature of humanity is something we need to come back to when assessing this new perspective. Humans have the power of love. We can support each other and create tremendous change when we work together. We can overcome nearly any challenge imaginable, if we just believe in each other and understand that power. The only things holding us back are negative thinking, selfishness, and inaction. Critical thinking is essential. It shows you how to make things better. Negative thinking becomes a spiral to drag us down, either individually or collectively. We give up and succumb to the horrible. Love can pull us out of that hole. We have used it to do so throughout human history. Let us proudly show off our great human power to any extraterrestrial strangers we meet some day. And let us resolve to use it here on Earth to heal wounds and make our world better.
Photo by Tyler Nix on Unsplash
Monday, May 6, 2019
Extraterrestrial First Contact: Humanity in Crisis
As I write this, it’s a lovely day outside: spring green,
bright blue canopy overhead, fresh air, bees buzzing, and birds chirping. It
certainly doesn’t seem like we are in crisis. However, scientific research
continues to warn of massive changes in the ecological health of planet Earth.
The latest is a United Nations report that combines many recent studies into a
frightening summation. This lede is from the New York Times:
“Humans are transforming Earth’s natural landscapes so
dramatically that as many as one million plant and animal species are now at
risk of extinction, posing a dire threat to ecosystems that people all over the
world depend on for their survival, a sweeping new United Nations assessment
has concluded.”
It’s tough to comprehend that statement given the beautiful
day and abundant nature outside my window. And that’s the problem- these
changes are occurring right under our noses. Unless we pay close attention we
won’t see this disaster coming. It’s no longer a matter of worrying about the
decline in elephant or rhinoceros populations, science shows that we are losing
a huge amount of the insect population. One German study found a 75 percent
decrease in the flying insect population in one region over the last 27 years.
Insects are a foundational part of the Earth ecology.
It’s ridiculous to argue about what is responsible for all
of these changes- it is humanity. There is no other logical conclusion
supported by science. The damage is the result of a variety of human impacts: expanding human development, agriculture, livestock, the burning of fossil fuels, chemical use, and many other
factors combined. The common element here is humanity. We are altering the
planet in a way that we are only beginning to understand. And even if you don’t
care about plant and animal life, the effects will likely produce devastating impacts
to human lives. Agriculture may experience collapse in some regions. Animal and
plant life is intermeshed in ways beyond our comprehension. Losing one species
can alter many others. The end result could be crop decline and then human famine.
We have not even begun to tackle the problems at hand. That
will take a comprehensive change in how humans live their lives- everything
from how we travel and where we live, to what we eat. We can’t continue to live
this way. We are fundamentally altering Earth in a way the planet cannot
support.
The lovely day outside is part of the problem. Until people
experience crop failure and famine, ecological collapse may not seem believable.
If we wait until that happens the results will be devastating. Even if we
started right now, and took these challenges seriously, the research points to devastating
consequences. The only hope is to mitigate the horrible and deal with the
results.
And yet there is probably more discussion about current movies
and sporting teams today than there is of this topic. That is the definition of
insanity. We are suffering from a human mass delusion. We see what we perceive
as normal conditions and assume that it will always be this way. Even people
who are beginning to feel the impact of climate change push it off as something
long-term. Those of us in our later years may not suffer as much, but every
generation after us will experience a significant degradation in quality of
life. Poor people in vulnerable nations will be the first to be hurt. Climate
change is already making life difficult for farmers in countries such as
Guatemala. We may not recognize the U.S. border crisis as a climate change
issue, but it is one factor creating the migration of people from Central and
South America. That is only going to grow worse.
So, when do we take action? It may takes years for any significant
change to take place given our complacency and the incentives to ignore the
warnings. Imagine the pushback from fossil fuel producers, farmers, car
companies, and makers of consumer goods? Politicians will need to lead the charge
and yet all of those constituencies will be screaming at our leaders and
fighting change at each and every step. It’s not just corporations that are responsible
for the ignorance- most humans are not prepared to take the steps needed to
mitigate climate and ecological change. It will require a fundamental
alteration in how we live our lives. It will mean a sacrifice in lifestyle. We
will have to make concessions and behave differently. That’s a tall order,
especially for people in poorer nations who are already struggling to survive.
You tell the taxi cab driver in Mumbai that he can’t drive that fuel wasting,
carbon emitting, 1980s Toyota. And then tell his family who depend on that
income. Will India buy electric cars for all? Will the United States government?
And then, guess what? Your electric car is most likely fueled by a coal power
plant. Figure that out.
I believe that the best hope for humanity is a “critical
mass” event. Critical mass in this sense is “…a size, number, or
amount large enough to produce a particular result.” We need something
that can change the human perspective in a way that is stronger than all of the
forces of complacency. It may happen someday due to cataclysm, or more likely a
series of cataclysms, but perhaps a push from outside our little world could do
the same? If an extraterrestrial civilization were to make itself known and
give us advice, perhaps we would take action? That advice wouldn’t need to be
some brilliant new technology. It could just be an acknowledgement that we have
massive problems here on Earth. Extraterrestrials could take the data we have
already collected and spit it back to us in ways we have not been able to do.
Humans will need to solve their own problems, but we could sure use an
objective point of view.
In the meantime, step outside and enjoy nature. Our days
with our current ecology may be limited.
Thursday, May 2, 2019
Extraterrestrial First Contact: Those Who Scream the Loudest
There will be plenty of conversation in the wake of alien First Contact. It could range from simple debate to heated confrontations. If there is one thing we have learned about discourse in the last 30 years, it is that those who scream the loudest are often given the most attention by the news media. The reason is simple: controversy. Controversy is the life blood of the news business and the parts of social media not dedicated to cats. Take a look at what is trending on Twitter. It is most likely a controversy. Do a check list next time you watch TV news- aside from murders and disasters, what takes up the most TV time? Controversy. We love the stuff. Controversy can usually be seen on a spectrum with poles on either end. Let’s take the Colin Kaepernick football kneeling debate. People with opinions on one pole support his efforts, believing that it is important to highlight police shootings of black Americans. Individuals on the other pole think that kneeling during the National Anthem is an affront to Veterans and the entire nation. Both sides scream quite loudly. And it is a legitimate debate. I am not implying that the people on opposite sides of an issue should not be paid any attention. However, I do think that their rhetoric often drowns out more moderate viewpoints. Those moderate considerations could provide a better path to understanding, and perhaps a resolution.
Alien First Contact is likely to be controversial. At the
very least, there would be people who are concerned about such contact, fearing
an alien attack or extraterrestrial dominance of humans. Others would likely
consider Frist Contact our salvation and welcome aliens with open arms. The people
at both of those opposite poles would likely scream their view points, perhaps
in public protests. Violence could erupt. Many parts of human society could be
brought into the debate, including politics, religion, culture, and economics. That
would make for quite a bit of noise. What would happen to moderate, perhaps majority,
opinions in such a situation? They would likely be washed away in the flood of
controversy. Media outlets won’t want to cover the quiet majority. They will
focus on the raucous polar extremes.
In the wake of high-information First Contact, there would
need to be an effort to find out majority and minority nuanced views. It will
have to be an intentional process, since there is no ready mechanism in place
for gathering such information. The media usually responds to the latest debate
laid out before them. Journalists are not very good about applying
introspection and context. Taking the pulse of humanity would be a job for survey
science and sadly, survey science is dying. The primary culprit is changing
communication mediums. Telephones were once the established base of survey
science. However, as cell phones took over, the public listing of phone numbers
disappeared, taking away access to contacts that could easily be randomized.
Human attitudes towards opinion polling also suffered from abuse. Politicians
began using push-polling to influence voters under the guise of a survey. Web
polls are tough to make scientifically accurate. The old method of telephone
polling was done in a way to ensure a representative sample. It is tough to do
that via the Internet. There are very few opportunities for random selection of
subjects.
Academics would need to rally in the wake of alien First
Contact. It would be critical that humans know what other humans are thinking.
And not just for one country or a few countries. We would want to know what
humans across cultures and geographical areas are thinking about alien First
Contact. Colleges and universities can
be found in just about every nation on Earth. Academic leaders could take the
opportunity to conduct emergency surveys in whatever methods could best be
used. Data mining of the Internet could be a huge help. Research groups could
monitor search words and other Internet data. What is trending on Twitter could
be a good guide for what needs further study. I have often said that social science would
need to lead the way if Direct First Contact does occur. Political leaders
would need to know what their constituents are thinking. World leaders could
use the information to listen to the people, and then take the steps to carry
out the public will. We could even use
the results to better communicate with humans. There would likely be a great
deal of misinformation After First Contact. Polling could help determine where
there was misinformation, confusion or unnecessary worry. Once identified, a
plan could be developed to respond with factual information.
Listening will be critical if First Contact does occur
someday. For social science academics, this would be a drop everything and
respond moment of emergency research. That’s not how higher education
institutions and research think-tanks usually operate. To be relevant, they
would need to adopt the position of emergency research first responders. Get
the data and get it out to the public. Peer reviews, and the resulting debate,
would have to be done on the fly. I understand that is problematic, but in the
first weeks, months and years of First Contact, a necessary evil. We won’t want
crappy research, but simple and effective research done quickly. That quick
response doesn’t preclude social scientists carrying out more careful long-term
research that would follow the usual route of academic journals and peer
review. That will still be important.
The reputation of those colleges and universities could
cause the media to pay attention to these quick response studies and surveys.
Perhaps then, a balance could be restored. Listening to extremists would be
important. However, not at the expense of drowning out the majority of humans.
Knee jerk responses and dangerous actions could harm humans for many
generations to come. A rational discussion would be necessary to plot a path
forward.
I have suggested that the United Nations, and each
individual nation, would need to have a group of professionals assigned to
listening to the public. They could bring in such poll results and other
research to help the UN, Security Council, and individual General Assembly nations
set the agenda for response.
We won’t be able to rely on our usual ways of doing things
in a high-information First Contact situation. We will have to respond quickly
to immediate needs and also keep looking forward. That will take both
organization and significant effort.
Wednesday, April 3, 2019
Extraterrestrial Contact: Annoying Movie Aliens
Judging from the movies, aliens are a real pain in the butt.
If they aren’t busy destroying our planet they are annoyingly mysterious,
designing puzzles for us to ponder, and scaring us half to death in the
process. The latest rendition is courtesy of the TV show “Nightflyers.” An
extraterrestrial spaceship is found in deep space and it doesn’t respond to any
messages. Humans send a spaceship to meet the ship, in hopes that the aliens or
artificial intelligence running the ship will provide us the technology to help
Earth cope with widespread illness and other issues caused by over-population
and climate change. Throughout the first episodes, the aliens remain an enigma.
They sometimes present challenges, such as sending back a probe the Earthlings
have sent to them, and combining it with biological material, but with no word
of explanation. Such a plot makes perfect sense for television. It builds
suspense and gives the characters some challenges to overcome. In reality, those type of actions would be a waste
of time and energy.
It seems hard to believe that aliens would arrive in our
solar system or make contact without a specific reason for doing so. Now,
perhaps the aliens would want to be left alone. If they didn’t have the
technology to stay unobserved, one would figure they could at least simply push
us away or blow up our spacecraft? It seems like a lot of work to torture humans
with riddles.
The movie “Arrival” had much the same premise- mysterious
aliens and challenges for humans to understand. However, that film explained it
quite neatly. The aliens presented the challenges to bring humans together and to
help us understand their language, which also taught us a whole different way
of understanding the universe. I can accept that aliens might have a different
way of reaching out to us than we might expect, but deliberately trying to confuse
us seems like a lot of work. Why couldn’t the aliens in “Arrival” have simply
told us they had a message for the whole world, and then explained their way of
language and thinking? I can’t imagine we wouldn’t listen to such an
explanation.
If aliens have developed the technology to come to our solar
system or contact us in some other manner, they would be good problem solvers.
You don’t conquer interstellar travel by being obtuse. The idea of an elegant
solution, the simplest and most direct way to solve a problem, seems likely to
be a universal goal. Thus one would imagine that if aliens set out to greet
humans someday they would do so in the most effective way possible. They would
find the most elegant solution. They would have a reason for wanting to make
contact. They would do the planning needed to meet their goals as efficiently
as possible. It would be easy to research human beings. A probe in Earth orbit
could link to our Internet by tapping into a satellite. The human web would provide
all the information necessary to learn our language, understand our society,
and investigate human psychology. Now there could be some culture gaps along
the way, but a basic understanding of humans would seem to be a pre-requisite
for saying hello, if aliens are the ones who reach out. If we reach out first,
via a long distance communication, then it could be a very complex and involved
process of learning languages and establishing even basic understanding.
Weird aliens are great for drama, but not for getting things
done. I would imagine that if we do make alien First Contact someday, the aliens
will be very, very different from us. However, if they have the technology to
travel to our solar system, it would seem likely they would have the smarts to
do research and acquire an understanding of humans before saying hello. Let’s
hope so. I hate riddles.
Wednesday, March 20, 2019
Extraterrestrial Contact: Climate Change Response
Climate change is occurring on planet Earth. The only
question is how we should respond. I suggested in a previous post that there is
a need to balance our society. That includes creating a Steady State Economy
that is bound by environmental necessities. Here are some steps that would need
to be taken.
Move Military Budgets to
Climate Change Response
The top 15 military nations in the world spend a combined $1,739 billion on defense. The defense budget of
the United States is one third of that total: $610 million. The cost of climate
change response will be staggering and every nation on the planet will be impacted.
It makes no logical sense to spend money to defend ourselves against each other,
when there is a much greater threat in climate change. Military budgets should
be turned to carbon reductions, climate resiliency, and disaster response. Military
service people could be moved to those areas of need. Their expertise would be
valuable in many situations. Climate change should be declared a national
emergency by every nation on Earth. Arms and technology companies can turn
their business towards environmental response. There would be much money to be
made. This would be disruptive to the economy at first, but quite simply we
have no choice. The longer we wait, the harder it will be to implement. Instead
of gradual change, waiting would create the need for immediate change, and that
would be much more disruptive.
Manage the Movement
of Humans
Climate change will render some geographical locations
uninhabitable due to temperature, sea level rise, and famine. Humans will need
to leave some areas and settle in new locations. That may sound like a negative
for regions not suffering as much from climate change, as they would likely receive
the refugees. But it doesn’t have to be a negative. There is concern over the
decline in population growth in developed nations. Leaders are worried that
there will not be a working population large enough to support the aging
population in developed countries. Immigration is an obvious solution. That
fuels fears because immigration is a mess in much of the world. However, it is
not problematic by its very nature. It is problematic because we lack an effective
system for migration on a large
scale. Denying entry to immigrants and creating huge refugee camps hurts
everyone and it is not sustainable. Developed nations need a workforce and
immigrants from high-impact climate change areas could provide that workforce.
The key is to have a fair system for resettlement that doesn’t have negative
consequences for the native population, and ensure that immigrants are treated
equitably and not exploited.
Share the Response to
Problems
People love to tout their country’s role in the global
economy and yet if you mention a problem in a far-off nation it is someone
else’s problem. National borders often can’t constrain issues in a country. The
refugee crisis in Europe is a prime example. Syria and other nations experience
violence and economic collapse. People flee. They have to go somewhere. That
leads to illegal immigration and refugee camps.
If we don’t think of these conflicts in a broader context we hurt ourselves.
It’s the same in the United States, where migrants are flooding the border as
they escape troubled nations in South and Central America. A thoughtful and effective response
would engage the cooperation of all countries involved. And yet we respond with
unilateral patches to the border.
Control Waste
We are drowning in our own waste. It is floating in giant patches in our oceans. It contaminates our drinking water and food sources. Developing nations are the most responsible for wholesale dumping of waste in oceans, but developed countries are just to blame. The United States is the number one waste creator in the world. We have sent our so-called recycling overseas for years, not wanting to know what is done with it. Now China no longer will take the world's recycling. Humans have a huge waste issue. We must develop more biodegradable materials and advance recycling in terms of technology and infrastructure. There is no reason for the United States and other developed nations not to have a robust recycling system that actually works. It will take disruptive government action and a lot of effort.
Support Education for All
Education has become a necessity in the global workforce. The number of low-skill jobs is declining and the need for skilled workers is great. While this has been most studied in the United States, it seems likely to be an issue worldwide as technology grows in developing nations. The Brookings Institution examined the issue. The authors suggest educational solutions. They also point out the need for equal access to education. A more responsive educational system could train workers for future employment, but it needs to be affordable and easily accessed by most people.
These suggestions may sound like science fiction right now, but they won’t for long. Climate change problems are growing worse. Environmental circumstances will soon make these actions inevitable.
And once again, why discuss this on an extraterrestrial contact blog? We can’t have much of a relationship with aliens if our world is a mess. And while we may look to extraterrestrials as saviors who can fix all of our problems, that is both naïve and dangerous. We face these issues no matter what the reality of intelligent extraterrestrial life. If we are alone in the universe we need to solve our own problems. If there are alien civilizations inhabiting far-off planets we need to solve our own problems. If aliens are watching us we need to solve our own problems. If aliens visit our solar system someday we will still need to solve our own problems.
Control Waste
We are drowning in our own waste. It is floating in giant patches in our oceans. It contaminates our drinking water and food sources. Developing nations are the most responsible for wholesale dumping of waste in oceans, but developed countries are just to blame. The United States is the number one waste creator in the world. We have sent our so-called recycling overseas for years, not wanting to know what is done with it. Now China no longer will take the world's recycling. Humans have a huge waste issue. We must develop more biodegradable materials and advance recycling in terms of technology and infrastructure. There is no reason for the United States and other developed nations not to have a robust recycling system that actually works. It will take disruptive government action and a lot of effort.
Support Education for All
Education has become a necessity in the global workforce. The number of low-skill jobs is declining and the need for skilled workers is great. While this has been most studied in the United States, it seems likely to be an issue worldwide as technology grows in developing nations. The Brookings Institution examined the issue. The authors suggest educational solutions. They also point out the need for equal access to education. A more responsive educational system could train workers for future employment, but it needs to be affordable and easily accessed by most people.
These suggestions may sound like science fiction right now, but they won’t for long. Climate change problems are growing worse. Environmental circumstances will soon make these actions inevitable.
And once again, why discuss this on an extraterrestrial contact blog? We can’t have much of a relationship with aliens if our world is a mess. And while we may look to extraterrestrials as saviors who can fix all of our problems, that is both naïve and dangerous. We face these issues no matter what the reality of intelligent extraterrestrial life. If we are alone in the universe we need to solve our own problems. If there are alien civilizations inhabiting far-off planets we need to solve our own problems. If aliens are watching us we need to solve our own problems. If aliens visit our solar system someday we will still need to solve our own problems.
Tuesday, March 12, 2019
Extraterrestrial Contact: The Dangers of a Growth Based Society
I live in
Nashville, Tennessee. Cranes dot the horizon and construction is everywhere. We
take pride in that growth. And yet we know what comes with it- increased
traffic, higher rents, and congestion. Part of the joy in seeing a city grow is
knowing that the growth is linked to the economy of the region and thus
employment opportunities are abundant. We also like having a wide range of
medical care; a choice of schools; skilled professionals in many fields; more
restaurants and amusements. Inevitably we compare ourselves to other cities and
decide that we are winning. But is that rational in the long-term?
The economic
health of any region is currently judged by growth: growth of the workforce,
growth of wages, growth of domestic product, and growth of trade. Countries
need to keep growing to survive in the global economy. And it’s not just
nations. Individuals want consumption growth to support a better lifestyle. We live in a growth-based society. Sadly,
there are indications that uncontrolled growth is killing the planet that
supports us. Climate Change is a dire emergency as we deal with extreme weather
and sea level rise. We are facing an ecological disaster as we lose species at
an alarming rate. Growth and consumption are causing many severe problems.
Exploiting fossil fuels without control may produce short-term monetary and
employment growth for an economy, but what about the long-term impact of fossil
fuel use to climate change? And that is just one example of growth causing
damage.
A few economists
are debating the value of uncontrolled growth. Michael Spence, the Nobel Prize
winning economist at Stanford University, questions if measurements of growth
can capture the thing humans most care about: well-being.
So, what do
we do next? Over the years, environmentalists have suggested that we need
moderation in consumption and increased control over waste. Not using straws at
a restaurant and recycling are two small examples. The idea is that if we
increase efficiencies and reduce waste we can have less of a negative impact on
the environment. That makes sense, but does the traditional environmentalism go
far enough? The world population continues to grow. That means more consumption
and waste.
Given that
we are a growth-based society, how can we achieve population control and not
suffer economic collapse? We need more people working and consuming to fuel our
economy. And besides, there is a matter of equity. People in Third World
nations just want to participate in the lifestyle that many people in First
World countries enjoy. They want better food, cars, electronics, and larger
homes. They want to consume more. And who are we to deny them the benefits of
growth?
The answer may
be in balance. Humans need to find a way to live healthy and rewarding lives
while preserving the environment to whatever degree is still possible. We need
to make radical technological changes to respond to climate disruption and
ecological issues. We must learn to live within our means. We need a balanced society.
The term
Steady State Economy is often used in connection with this idea of balance. It
is a society where population and consumption are stabilized to be sustainable.
Balance may sound like a passive response, but at the scale we are discussing,
it would require a great deal of effort and ingenuity to achieve. Balance is currently
discussed in many different ways, including sustainability and low-impact living,
but it should include all facets of life including economic, social, and
familial considerations. The balance comes from determining what we need, not
what we want, and how to achieve that in a way that does not harm the Earth.
Economist
Kate Raworth with Oxford University proposes Doughnut Economics. It is graphic
representation that shows the reconfiguring of the world economy within the
framework of our environment. Simply put: proper consideration of economic
development means taking into account the consequences of those actions, both
in terms of the environment and the impact to humans. The Raworth balance comes
in the form of a circle or doughnut with an ecological ceiling that we should
not go beyond and a social foundation that we don’t allow people to fall
beneath. She shows the spikes that certain human activities entail, taking us
beyond the ceiling of sustainability. One example she uses is the production of
beef. There is a staggering amount of resources required to support cattle
(land, feed, chemicals) and pollution (nitrogen primarily) that production
creates. Cutting back on beef consumption could help to re-balance the
situation. If you don’t think that’s a radical idea, just ask the cattle
industry.
Laurie Kaye
Nijaki at the University of Michigan also calls for a green economy.
“The green
economy aims to widen the view of economic growth or progress through an
integration of environmental considerations in the development process. It
reframes growth as “green growth” and thus limits development by taking into
account quality of life considerations that are hinged on environmental quality
today and into the future. In this way, the metrics for evaluating development
choices and their successes is changed to one that seeks to reference the
long-run environmental effects of economic action and inaction.”
Big ideas always
face hard realities. There is currently a world-wide recycling crisis. China stopped taking recycling and they were the primary market for the entire planet. More and more
municipalities are dropping recycling because they can’t find anyone who will
take it. Traditional economics won’t work. Recycling likely needs intrusive
government action to make it profitable. And that would increase costs for
consumers and irritate the large waste companies. Not an easy challenge. And
that is one of many issues a green or Steady State economy would face.
What does
all of this have to do with extraterrestrial First Contact? Our Earth-bound
problems make us a much less attractive candidate for an extraterrestrial
relationship. Why should aliens waste their time contacting a species that is
driving itself to extinction? If we can’t manage our own planet, why would they
want us out in the universe exploring and perhaps wrecking other planets?
Solving these problems may be an essential milestone for civilizations to
overcome and other beings may be waiting to see how we do. Or it could take
extraterrestrials intervening to help us consider a new way of living here on
planet Earth. The history of an extraterrestrial civilization could provide insight for moving forward here on Earth.
Photo by Shea
Rouda on Unsplash
Tuesday, March 5, 2019
Extraterrestrial Contact: The Four Levels of an Extraterrestrial Relationship
This title may sound like a funny article about dating
aliens, but please consider it in a different way. We hope to make contact with
an extraterrestrial civilization someday for one primary reason: we, as the
human civilization, want to communicate with them. That would be a relationship,
albeit a really complex relationship. A relationship sounds cozy, but in
reality it should not imply any positive or negative attributes. We would need
to be careful at any level of contact with members of an extraterrestrial
civilization.
That given, aliens may want nothing to do with us. Or they
may not want to disturb our fragile human institutions by making contact. If
they did decide to talk to us, communicating with them could be quite
complicated. However, if we were able to communicate well, such interaction
could be categorized in terms of how much information they are willing to share,
and the impact that information could have on the human civilization.
Level One- This
would be the most basic form of relationship. An extraterrestrial civilization
would simply tell us their intent in contacting us, and whether they come in
peace or with a threat. That intent could just be to say hello. Perhaps they
would also inform us if there are any other extraterrestrial civilizations in
the universe. In this level of interaction they may not share much beyond those
basic points. This would be tough for humanity to handle. Speculation would run
wild. The lack of information could fuel reactionary behavior. Some form of
preparatory defense may make sense.
Level Two- In
this scenario, the level of information flow increases as the extraterrestrials
share their history. They could also have a more substantive reason for
contacting us. This means they are trying to accomplish something in the
relationship. They could be warning us about another civilization or giving us
advice on how to handle our current environmental challenges. And with greater
information we would need to use greater caution. We would always want to ask ourselves
why extraterrestrials are doing something. That would involve a close
examination of their stated reason and an investigation as to what might be a
hidden agenda. I am not suggesting full
paranoia and a reactionary response After First Contact, but a little paranoia
is quite practical in unknown situations. As in Level One, some form of
preparatory defense may make sense.
Level Three- This
would involve extraterrestrials actively sharing science and technology
insights, perhaps at a rudimentary level at first. It would necessitate the gatekeeper
framework for communication that I recently discussed in the Initial Working
Groups posts. One would assume that at this level of information sharing there
would be less of a direct threat from traveling extraterrestrials. However, the
possibility of manipulation through cooperation would increase. We would also need
to be careful about what information we receive and how we disseminate it to
the world population. The impacts to our society, both positive and negative, would
increase with each bit of information we receive, even if extraterrestrial
intentions are benevolent.
Level Four- This level
would be an expansion of Level Three. It would necessitate the need for a much
more robust framework of gatekeepers. It could start with the Initial Working
Groups, but eventually need to expand to include long-term solutions. This type
of communication could have a significant impact on the human civilization,
perhaps leading us in new directions as a species. Humanity would need to be
aware of this dynamic and create safeguards for how that information sharing
would progress. With a high degree of extraterrestrial involvement in our
civilization, we could become very different beings in a few hundred years. We
need to think about that now. There
would be a high risk of reliance on extraterrestrial intervention. We would
need to decide if this was a good thing or a bad thing for the human civilization,
and take measures. The possibility of extraterrestrial manipulation of humans would
increase dramatically in a Level Four relationship.
The use of words such as sharing and relationship may make
this discussion seem warm and fuzzy. It is not. The decisions humans make in
the very first days of alien First Contact could have a profound impact on
humans for generations to come. Human beings would need to start an
extraterrestrial relationship with eyes wide open, and that means applying
critical thinking to each and every step we take.
Photo by Guillaume Jaillet on Unsplash
Tuesday, February 5, 2019
Extraterrestrial Contact: Do It Ourselves
I think one reason people hope for alien contact is the
possibility that humans could receive technological help, especially scientific
ideas that would allow us to solve big challenges, such as climate change and the
need for clean, high-power energy sources. Such information sharing sounds great at first
glance, but if you consider the possibilities, it becomes a more complex issue.
Why would we want alien information? If we discover a
far-off signal, extraterrestrials could be of advanced technological
development, at our level of technology or even lower. No matter what, they
would likely have a unique take on the workings of the universe and that alone
could prove interesting, if not helpful. If aliens come to our solar system
then they would clearly be more technologically advanced. That is the scenario
I am considering here.
There is no reason to think that visiting aliens would want
to help at all. Giving us their technology could make us a threat. But let’s
say the extraterrestrials were willing to share, would we want to take them up
on the offer of technological help? I think there are two good reasons to turn
down, or at least closely examine, such a proposal. Receiving alien technology could
make us dependent on their technology. Unless they take a lot of time to explain
their entire system of science from the ground up, we would simply be receiving
devices and processes. We would have no foundation, which would provide the
tools to fix or change such technology. We would be dependent on the aliens. I
don’t think that would be a safe or practical position for humanity. Extraterrestrials
could use such methods to keep us constricted in development and confined to
our solar system. They could even use it as leverage to control our society.
The other reason to be wary of technological help from
aliens I have discussed previously. The human system of science builds on
itself. Our current level of scientific knowledge comes from the work of
hundreds of thousands of humans throughout history. Observations have been
made. Questions have been developed. Hypotheses have led to experiments.
Results have been analyzed, communicated and refined. That scientific process,
for any specific hypothesis, can involve many researchers and many institutions
working for many years. Along the way, we use the data to discover new ideas
and follow new paths. Science rarely travels on a direct route to success and
it’s not easy or pretty in the making. Receiving spoon-fed knowledge from
extraterrestrials could threaten to undermine our system of science and weaken
the entire structure. Unless each and every piece of alien knowledge was
deciphered and then carefully integrated into our scientific system, alien knowledge
could create holes in our disciplines. A flood of alien scientific information
could wash away our scientific foundations all together.
Receiving information about alien history, and the history
of other civilizations in the universe, could be safer. We could even learn
about the make-up of the universe from the extraterrestrial perspective in such
a way that we could adapt their ideas into our scientific system. But we would
want to be very intentional about that process and carefully evaluate each step.
And we would have to judge whether the aliens were telling us the truth. Another
possibility for rendering humans less of a threat would be sharing incorrect or
confusing information.
This entire train of thought is based on the premise that
aliens would be in a physical position to share a great deal of information
with us. That type of communication would most likely require close proximity.
In reality, if an extraterrestrial civilization is discovered in a far-off
galaxy, communication could be difficult, taking many years to send even a
single message. However, at this point the entire question of extraterrestrial
intelligence is pure conjecture, so I do think it’s helpful to consider many
different possibilities. If close-proximity, high-information alien First
Contact does occur someday, humans will be quite excited, and we could make
decisions before thinking them through. Not that we ever do such things. It
would seem prudent to take a deep breath and ask ourselves some important
questions before reacting. The welfare of future generations could depend on
our caution.
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