The media is buzzing with expectation over the US Department of Defense report on Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). It’s due in June, however several sources have said it could be delayed.
UAP are the military rebrand for UFOs. And the need for a new name is completely understandable. Humans have twisted the UFO concept in so many directions in the last few decades that it’s hard to take seriously. I have said before and will state again- I don’t believe that UAP are necessarily activity organized by an extraterrestrial intelligence. My reasoning is simple- no one has provided evidence of such. When there is evidence, I will revise my thinking. The recent UAP military leaks have been quite interesting, perhaps the most intriguing UFO reports yet. But UAP could also be Russian drones or advanced Chinese aircraft. And quite frankly- that’s what the military is most concerned about.
But what if the speculation about alien visitors turns
out to be correct? What would we have to consider? I’ve been exploring those
issues on the blog this month. Today, I want to look at the biggest question of
all – if there is alien activity here on Earth- who are they? It’s pure
speculation and there has been plenty of that put forth. So, I want to ask a
more specific question: what are they?
Interstellar travel is not easy. There are vast
distances between stars and galaxies. With our current understanding of
physics, it would take an alien intelligence thousands of years to travel to
Earth, even if they were from a relatively close star system and could travel
at speeds much faster than our current science can support. It’s also a pain in
the ass for biological beings to travel through space. Humans are planning for
a manned mission to Mars- in our celestial backyard compared to interstellar
travel. And yet considerations of cosmic radiation, space debris, oxygen, food,
and water will make the manned Mars effort quite challenging. So, imagine what
it would take for biological beings to travel light years?
So,
this is my first proposal: If extraterrestrial intelligence has visited Earth
or our solar system, it is likely to be in the form of an advanced probe, not controlled
by on-board biological beings.
I agree with the astrophysicists who propose that any
extraterrestrial intelligence we meet someday is likely to be controlled by
some level of artificial intelligence and without any biological beings on
board.
Why? It’s much easier. We already have human spacecraft traveling outside of our solar system. We’re using rovers to explore Mars, as we speak. It seems likely that if we decide to visit a nearby star in some future exploratory effort, we will send probes first. And who knows- maybe that is all we do? Maybe it’s all an alien civilization has done- send unpiloted probes out into the universe to explore?
Unpiloted alien drones would certainly help to explain
the wild aeronautical maneuvers some pilots have reported with UAP. It’s tough
to move biological beings around in advanced maneuvers due to the impact of
G-forces to our bodies.
Such actions would not be an issue for a mechanical drone. The other question is why alien drone would be lit up and dancing around for fighter pilots to witness? The only reason to light up your aerial vehicle is to attract attention. Humans do it to prevent aircraft from running into each other. Perhaps an alien drone is lit up to prevent human aircraft from running into it? Or ETI could be trying to attract attention for some other reason- perhaps to prepare humans for revelation of their presence?
My second proposal: Such probes would have some level of operational intelligence.
That could be powered by advanced programming. It is what we are doing on Mars
with the Perseverance Rover. It is controlled from Earth, but only at times.
There are times when it can act autonomously, such as picking out a target to
study. It also needs to do complex activities while having no communication
with Earth. That happened during landing and initial start-up sequences. That’s
our best technology for a space probe in 2021. What will we be able to do in
2027? Or 2050?
Let’s then take the next leap- what would an advanced extraterrestrial civilization be capable of? The consideration of an advanced alien probe here on Earth becomes a little less crazy when you think of it that way. It could be a programmed probe. However, given the massive distances that commands would need to travel from another star system that also seems unlikely. With our current science, such messages would make many years. It seems more likely such a probe would have some degree of artificial intelligence.
My third proposal: An alien probe here on Earth, controlled by artificial intelligence, could be described in one of two
ways- Smart or Sentient. Smart AI could have the capabilities
to carry out all sorts of research activity on its own. Sentient AI would go a
step further- it would have agency in decision making. What that means is a
hotly contested subject here on Earth. I take it to mean the AI would be able
to respond to advanced challenges, make changes to its mission based on local
needs, and make original decisions, beyond programming, all with some type of
self-awareness.
That’s about as far as I want to go with this
speculation. There could be many reasons for why such probes would be on Earth,
some better for human society than others. The amount of contact they have had
with humans and how long they have been operating on Earth are other obvious
questions.
I don’t think the upcoming DOD UAP report will discuss
any of this. It is most likely going to raise more questions than provide
answers. It could, however, be the catalyst for the military to investigate UAP
with a proactive search using advanced technology.
And let me say one final thing on the issue of UAP. If
some of the UFO reports turn out to truly be the activity of extraterrestrial
intelligence it doesn’t mean that all UFO reports and allegations are true. Humans
have tied such considerations into exaggeration, myth, and storytelling for
decades. UFO encounters are also a common sign of psychological problems. And
on the flip side- abduction reports could be true. It would be an important
question if First Contact does occur here in our solar system someday. If we do
find evidence of alien visitation, let’s react calmly and sort out the situation
strategically.
My primary focus for this blog is what could happen if
humans do make First Contact in the future. I examine those issues in my new
book “The Extraterrestrial Big Hello: A Guide for
What to do When the Aliens Introduce Themselves.” It is available on Amazon
worldwide.
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