You have probably heard the German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche’s quote "That which does not kill us makes us stronger.” Quite
often this is the case with humans. We learn from past mistakes and go on to do
things more effectively. The novel coronavirus, COVID-19, is an example of this
occurring in human society. The pandemic may better prepare us for worse
disease outbreaks in the future. Health authorities in China will hopefully
learn from their mistake of hiding the initial outbreak. In the United States,
it is clear that the Strategic National Stockpile of medical emergency
materials is woefully under prepared. Testing has also
been a big issue in the United States. Now, can we guarantee that nations will
learn from their mistakes? Of course not. Sometimes governments and
institutions fail, even after learning from a crisis. We could become complacent
about the Strategic National Stockpile in a year or two. Coronavirus vaccine
research apparently dried up a few years ago because of a lack of interest and
funding. But hopefully some lessons will be learned from this pandemic and
responses improved for future events.
So, why do I write about this topic for a blog about
extraterrestrial First Contact? If an advanced extraterrestrial civilization
knows that we are here on Earth, “That which does not kill us…” may be the
reason they haven’t contacted humans. Our human civilization advances in lurches
and sometimes that includes going backwards before going forward. Progress is
not a straight line. We learn from our mistakes and we work to make things
better. The same is true of our scientific system. It is just as important to
have scientific failures as it is to have advances. The failures lead to the
advances. By learning what doesn’t work, we can get a clearer picture of what
might work. It’s possible that an advanced alien civilization doesn’t want to
interfere in this process here on Earth. They could very well be watching this unfold
and tracking our progress.
There could be situations that would cause such aliens to
change course and decide that it is time for them to make contact. Perhaps it
could be a backwards slide that they worry we won’t recover from? It’s
interesting to note the stresses that COVID-19 has put on our global
interaction. Some people are questioning the wisdom of globalization efforts. It
seems that COVID-19 may be a harmful, but not catastrophic event for humanity.
But what if it was much worse? What would that do to the human civilization?
What if tens of millions die in a future pandemic or if there is a nuclear war?
One possibility is the so called “Dark Ages” for Europe. The Little Ice Age,
thought to be caused by a massive volcano eruption, caused famine across the
western hemisphere around 1300 AD. The Black Plague struck a few decades later
and killed 20 million people in Europe. The result was a return to smaller,
fractious governments in Europe and a decline in science and literature. It
lasted for centuries.
If humans were facing a “Dark Ages” scenario again, would
aliens intervene? That would, of course, depend on the intentions of the
extraterrestrials. For all we know, they could be watching and hoping that our
progress is stunted so that we don’t develop the technology to go out into the
wider universe and bother them. If they did have good intentions towards us,
they would want to carefully weigh each disaster to decide the impact. Under
the “That which does not kill us…” philosophy they would be hesitant to get
involved unless they had to. Humans often view aliens as potential saviors,
rescuing us from our problems of climate change, dirty energy production, and other
pollution. However, it seems unrealistic to expect aliens to have better ideas
than us when it comes to human conditions. Take a look at COVID-19. It’s a
human virus. We have many years of experience examining viruses here on Earth.
Why should we expect aliens to have more knowledge about something so specific
to Earth? I’m not ruling out the idea that extraterrestrial insight might
assist with human progress. But it seems likely that information would be much
more general in nature, if they decided to share at all. Perhaps it could be
insight into better data mining techniques? It could be a key idea in physics
that could change our way of thought.
If high-information, Direct First Contact does occur
someday, we should be prepared to be disappointed in what aliens offer us in
terms of scientific and social help. I think, though, we would get over such a
disappointment. The realization that we are not alone in the universe may be
enough to spark a social renaissance in human society. Just that change in
perspective could be the best gift of all.
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