The United States Space Force is projected to be $2 billion,
fifteen thousand person off-shoot of the United States Air Force. And that’s
just for the five-year start-up. It would consolidate many current space
monitoring and defense activities. It would also develop new strategies for
defense and it is these possibilities that give one pause. The use of weapons
in space is limited. In 1967 the UN General Assembly passed the “Treaty on
Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of
Outer Space, including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies.” That International
Law prohibits mass destruction weapons, such as nuclear warheads, in space or
Earth orbit. The U.S. Space Force could use lasers and conventional payload missiles
to protect U.S. satellites. Russia and China are developing such technology. It
is argued that the United States will be vulnerable if it doesn’t respond. The
impact it would have on Alien First Contact could be considerable.
There is no evidence that extraterrestrials have traveled to
our solar system. However, if they do travel here, the threat of attack would
be a serious concern to humans, especially if the alien craft was in Earth
orbit; the closer the proximity, the greater the threat. Much would, of course,
depend on the nature of the aliens. If they profess peace we could be a little
less worried. But there would always be that nagging fear, rattling around in
the back of our minds: What if they are not telling the truth?
So, we would be scared.
Now, let’s take the alien point of view. Human controlled
conventional missiles and lasers in space could be a real threat to an alien
craft, just as fighter jets and ground missiles would be a threat inside
Earth’s atmosphere. We would assume that extraterrestrials capable of sending a
probe or piloted craft to our solar system have technology more advanced than
ours. The big question would be- does that technology include on-board
weaponry? If it were a scientific mission, such measures would only get in the
way.
So, they may be wary of us.
A little paranoia on all sides is not necessarily a bad
thing; it could keep everyone – us and the aliens – honest. A human Space Force,
while not developed or even considered for alien visitation, would provide
humans with an extra measure of security nonetheless. It may help quell human
fears in the early days of a Direct First Contact situation. Keeping us calm
would be important.
I think the real issue is what would happen After First Contact.
Worried humans could go on a space-based arms spree, perhaps even voting to
allow nuclear weapons in space, all in the name of protecting ourselves against
aliens. The aliens in question could be as nice as possible and the threat
would still be perceived. The same could be said of a non-communicative AI
probe. That scenario might even be worse, because if the probe is
non-communicative, we would be getting no reassurances of peaceful intentions.
Perhaps beefing up our space defense against extraterrestrials
would be necessary, but who would control such defenses? Individual nations
could turn those weapons on each other. The threat of nuclear weapons in space
would be significant, which is why the 1967 UN treaty was so well supported.
Fear will be a huge issue in any First Contact event and when humans get scared
we go for our big guns.
The balance of caution and optimism would be critical in the
wake of Direct First Contact. If aliens do visit us someday, there would have
to be some level of elevated defense preparedness, if even just in monitoring.
But there would also need to be a highly disciplined level of control, and we
would have to offer our own reassurances to the visitors.
It was inevitable that the human military presence in space
would continue to grow. Countries are heavily reliant on satellite technology.
It would be foolish not to protect that technology from other humans. The
United States Space Force is not such a bad idea. However, in case of alien
First Contact the added stressors and potential overreaction would be
dangerous. Protecting ourselves against aliens could make us more vulnerable to
each other and increase the risk of annihilation by error. Would it be worth
it?
Photo by NASA.
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