It’s more
than just population expansion that is built into our collective psyche. The
human infrastructure has grown to the point where it can be seen from space. In
mainstream human society economic growth isn’t considered just a positive thing,
it is considered absolutely necessary for economic health. Zero growth is
viewed as a dangerous situation. The push for continuous economic growth is not
always sustainable. In past recessions the U.S. Government has urged consumers to spend money. The fact that many Americans were in intractable debt wasn’t
considered.
You can go
further: Businesses are told they must grow or risk decline and death. Humans often
base their personal well-being on how much food and material goods they have.
That means an expansion in personal consumption. Consider the worry in Italy as
the birth rate has plunged. It’s leading to an economic imbalance - not enough
young people to pay the taxes necessary to take care of a larger elderly
population. No one is saying that there may need to be changes in the ways
pensions are funded. Instead, the focus is on encouraging Italians to have more
babies and encouraging immigration.
There are
some in human society who question the expansion based civilization. They argue
that such expansion is tough to support at current population levels. The
increase in the human population on Earth requires more resources to be used
and that will eventually lead to the depletion of non-renewable resources. It’s
also causing major issues for the environment. The dangerous increase in greenhouse
gases is one example. Another is the fact that human expansion is killing off species at a rate not seen since the last great extinction. Meat consumption is
rising world-wide. Developing nations are demanding meat as a bigger part of
the diet of citizens. But meat production requires massive amounts of water and
space. Humans may soon find themselves unable to afford the true cost of meat.
Every nation
wants to get bigger, stronger and richer. Developing nations want the same
quality of life for their citizens as those in developed nations. That
inevitably leads to the consumption of more resources.
Technology
can help us obviate some of the need for resources. We can make more efficient
cars, appliances and heating and cooling systems. The U.S. oil industry is a
textbook example of technology getting more and more out of limited resources. They
are squeezing every last drop of oil out of the ground. But the growth in population
and demand means that these technological developments may not be able to keep
up for long.
Something
will have to change. The big question is when. Do we wait until there is a
crisis? That seems to be the current human plan. Or do we make proactive
changes based on projections for population growth and consumer demand?
I realize
that this is a blog about extraterrestrial contact, so let’s view this issue from
an extraterrestrial exploration perspective. If crisis does spur the search for
technological developments, then crisis could lead to the colonization of space. I know that sounds like a leap in logic. But consider Earth hundreds of
years in the future. The need to find more resources and new homes for humans
could push technology forward and make such colonization economically and
technologically feasible. Aliens might tell us that the expansion of
civilizations into space is dependent on the crises caused by home planet
population expansion.
So, do we
embrace expansion or attempt to live in a population stabilized world?
The big
question seems to be how miserable it will get on Earth before technology can
save us. And then there is another major issue: who gets saved? Will it be just the rich or will it be all
humans? Are there to be huge numbers of people left out of technological
revolutions and thus subject to poverty, famine and disease, while a select few
enjoy the technological benefits? One could argue that is currently the case.
Back to the
extraterrestrial angle: Would alien contact provide us with new ideas on how to
overcome these challenges? Or would reliance on alien technological ideas make
us lazy and less able to overcome the challenges on our own? Some of the
greatest technological developments in human history have come during crisis.
Atomic power is one example. How long would it have taken for humans to harness
the power of splitting an atom if there wasn’t the race with Germany to develop
atomic technology in World War II? Is the loss of 80 million lives worth buying
us 20-30 years in the development of nuclear energy? I think most of us would
say no.
We need to
be prepared for the idea that interaction with an extraterrestrial civilization
won’t just be an interesting lesson in their history and science. It may raise
questions about human society that we need to answer on our own. Do we need
interaction with space aliens to make us truly face these challenges and come
up with solutions? Certainly not. But we humans often enjoy biding our time
until we are forced to make difficult decisions. Alien interaction could be
used as a catalyst to speed-up that timeline. That might save us a lot of
heartache in the future.
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