It seems to me
that in the wake of Direct First Contact there could be three different periods
of human reaction and thought. The first I have discussed before. I call it the
stunned period. During this time the event itself will be the focus of all
attention. People will be waiting for more information. While the news media
will attempt to provide context, via experts, that discussion won’t be easy. It
will simply be too soon for anyone to comment with any great insight. The
experts will be waiting for information, just like the rest of us. They may be
on TV, but they probably won’t have much to say, perhaps only providing more
questions. This may last a couple of days or even a week or more.
The second
period would be what I would call intellectual anarchy. The old ways of
thinking could seem irrelevant given First Contact. When humanity gets a
breather and breaks away from the stunned period of observation there will be a
flood of speculation and opinion. Because there would be few experts to provide
context, the media and others may go looking for context anywhere they can find
it. This would especially be prevalent on the Internet. Anyone even loosely
associated with the UFO movement or other extraterrestrial speculation would
offer themselves as experts. One would hope that the news media and the public
itself would recognize the pitfalls of such questionable expertise, but
unfortunately that might not always be the case. It’s hard to say how long
intellectual anarchy might last. If the news media recognizes the problem, they
may attempt to self-correct. If not humanity could be in for wild ride. Rampant
speculation could lead to rash reactions and even physical unrest.
There should be
a period where intellectual institutions and experts try to reinstate order; this
action could be led by the media, the government or other institutions. The
point is simple: the people we will need to rely on for expertise will be the
same before First Contact as After First Contact. An expert in economics is
still an expert in economics. They may need to do a lot of intellectual work to
fit their old expertise into the new reality, but they will have the education,
experience and skills needed to comment thoughtfully and provide meaningful
context.
Why would it be
important for the true experts to take control back? There would be immediate
concerns in the wake of Direct First Contact. There could be great challenges
to economic, political, and religious systems. This could lead to conflict,
both intellectual and physical. There will also be long-term concerns. This
could include the impact of extraterrestrial information to human sciences.
There could also be a psychological challenge for some humans and this could be
another area needing study.
There are
currently a small number of ready-made experts to provide context in a First
Contact situation. If they are not already announcing the event, the scientists
at the SETI Institute and NASA Ames Research Center would be important experts
on extraterrestrial matters. The Royal Institution of Great Britain is one of
the few scientific bodies brave enough to publish papers on the subject. The
journal Acta Astronautica by the International Academy of Astronautics has
continually provided a forum for new research and ideas. But these astronomers
and researchers can only go so far in providing the context and thought needed
in the wake of First Contact. If the aliens are willing to share information,
it will be a great enlightening for humanity, perhaps the greatest period of
enlightenment for all of human history. We will need a wide-range of daring and
thoughtful experts to show us the way.
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